Developments on the “Speculative Timeline”

First to put the boom in context with the past and future century, and second to graphically estimate the industry’s and cities future, the speculative timeline is a working graph that overlays information that tells the story of the boom and the inevitable bust. The jagged line represents fluctuations in oil production. The blue line represents Williston’s Census population, and the red line represents estimated actual population including transient workers.

2014 02 03 Speculative TimelineThe questions here become: how can we design for such uncertain future? How is flexibility and resilience considered in an immediate solution? It is the only the oil companies that have information to accurately estimate the future of production and labor demand, but this information is their most valuable, and therefore most confidential. How then does a design solution incorporate a response to uncertain timelines of industry and even more uncertain responses in population?

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